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Posted on Jan 15, 2008 in Across the US, Campaign '08, Conservatism

Projected Winner… Mitt Romney? John McCain? Should we even listen?

In both Iowa and New Hampshire, the media has been quick to call a projected winner with even as few as 10% of all of the precincts reporting. While that was easy to predict in Iowa and New Hampshire, will Michigan be the same?

I hope not. However, in the case that they do, here are my thoughts on what could happen; in what I’m guessing will be a unique primary on many levels.

Despite the fact that Mitt Romney is polling ahead of John McCain in the latest polls, I think that New Hampshire told us not to pay attention to the polls, because they don’t represent the entire voting population. Should Romney win? I think he should win, but I don’t know if he will win.

While Michigan isn’t known for its weather and its residents are used to snow, I think that John McCain could be hurt by the fact that there was snow in many parts of the state last night. Independents for example, might not be as compelled to go to the polls, thus giving Romney the upper hand.

On the other hand, if the snow isn’t a deterrent, McCain is going to have an advantage, simply because there is no Democratic primary, so McCain could tap into some of those independents who might have otherwise voted for Barak Obama.

McCain definitely has the appeal that fits the persona of a lot of Michigan residents; however Romney has the background and the ties to the state that might make him more appealing.

I really have no idea who is going to win. I would like to see Mitt Romney take this victory simply because it will make every state matter, and Rudy will have a run for his money.

I guess in the meantime, I will just sit back, ignore the pundits and see who wins.

As strange as it sounds, I hope it’s a long night. I’m definitely bored with these “projected winners” after ten minutes. C’mon, where’s the excitement!

*Update* Once again, I was disappointed and wrong. Of the three televised primaries, this seems to be even shorter than the others despite all the hype regarding how close it would be. Right now South Carolina is looking to be 24%/24%/18%, so if that stays, I’m hopeful that we’ll actually have a primary night that lasts awhile. Who doesn’t want to spend their Saturday night watching returns?