Is Chris Dodd in Trouble in 2010? He should be…
Is Sen. Chris Dodd (D-Conn.) really in trouble? At first glance, it’s hard to believe. Since his first election to the House in 1974, he’s won every campaign by double digits. He crushed his last two Senate opponents by landslide 2-to-1 ratios.
But reports about an alleged special mortgage deal from Countrywide Financial and criticism of his tenure as chairman of the Banking, Housing and Urban Affairs Committee appear to have dented his popularity, as reflected in a new Quinnipiac poll that suggests the five-term Democrat is highly vulnerable heading into his reelection next year.
A 51 percent majority of Connecticut voters said they “definitely” or “probably” won’t be voting for him, with only 42 percent saying they’d likely support him.
A 56 percent majority of Connecticut voters said they were less likely to vote for him because of the mortgage controversy. Fifty-four percent of respondents said they were not satisfied with Dodd’s explanation of allegations that he received preferential mortgage treatment.
If more voters disapprove than approve Senator Dodd, then the GOP may get the break they are looking for in Connecticut. Currently, Connecticut has a very popular republican governor, Jodi Rell, who won re-election in 2006 by over 60% of the vote. That’s good news considering all of Connecticut’s republican congressmen have lost their seats in the past four years – leaving five democratic US House Reps, one democratic Senator (Dodd) and one independent Senator (Lieberman). Rell on the ballot in 2010 will certainly help the Republican challenger to Dodd.
So who would this republican be? The politico speculates former Congressman Rob Simmons (CT-2).
“My consideration of running against Sen. Dodd is not poll-driven,” said Simmons, who criticized Dodd for losing touch with his constituents. “When I first ran for Congress in 1999, the Republican brand was way down in the toilet, and people said I was crazy to run when the GOP was out of favor — and I was able to beat a 20-year incumbent.”
I think it would be a good match, as Simmons has a strong defense record (he’s former CIA) and he saved the New London/Groton Sub base from closing. Not to mention he only lost re-election in 2006 by less than a hundred votes. When in Congress, Simmons hired both republicans and democrats to work for him and opposed Preside Bush’s privatization of Social Security reform. To find out more information about Simmons I recommend reading his exceprt in the book “Why I am a Reagan Conservative” titled “The Freedom to Do What Is Right.”