With polling being one of the center-point of this election, it’s important to look back at how late October data has actually played out on Election Day in terms of giving the underdog a victory.
From Gallop.com:
With only one week left in Campaign 2008, history is on the side of Barack Obama. It would be unusual — although not unprecedented — to see his recent 7- to 9-point leads among registered voters and 4- to 7-point leads among traditional likely voters shrink enough between now and the election to put the presidency within McCain’s reach.
Yiddish Translation: Kappore = Catastrophe.
In September the Jewish Council of Education & Research launched an innovative and attractive campaign to motivate young Jews around the country to make their way down to Florida to convince their grandparents to vote for Barack Obama.
With an edgy (yet compelling) video-plea from Sarah Silverman, this campaign received a great deal of fanfare and had many believing that this effort would lead to hundreds of young Jews schlepping down to Florida.